
Fabiano Caruana continued his 2023 hot streak at the end of November, and after clinching the 2023 GCT Sinquefield Cup, he became the winner of the FIDE Circuit. With just one competition to play, the FIDE World Rapid and Blitz Championships, Caruana is out of reach of his closest rivals (according to the regulations, only the five best scores by a particular player count toward the final score).
Given that Caruana already qualified for the Candidates in the World Cup, the second place in the FIDE Circuit (which gives a ticket to the Candidates) is worth its weight in gold.
Dommaraju Gukesh overtook Anish Giri in the FIDE Circuit standings and moved to second place following his strong showing in the Chennai Grand Masters, where he tied for the top position and collected 20 points. His compatriot Arjun Erigaisi picked up 18 points in this competition, coming to a striking distance of Wesley So — who increased his tally to 83.4 points after the GCT Sinquefield Cup — and Anish Giri.
The race for second place in the FIDE Circuit is entering the home stretch with three players — Gukesh, Giri, and Arjun — fighting for the spot in the Candidates. The upcoming FIDE World Rapid and Blitz Championship will decide who out of this trio qualifies for Toronto.
Wesley So is not among the participants in the FIDE World Rapid and Blitz Championship, but he has a chance to make it to the Candidates by rating.
FIDE Circuit race - Top 10 as of December 22
According to Tai Pruce-Zimmerman, a.k.a. Chess by the Numbers, Anish Giri will get the second spot in the FIDE Circuit either by winning the World Blitz Championship or finishing among the top-three in the World Rapid event. On his part, Arjun needs to win the World Rapid to surpass Gukesh.
Gukesh leads the FIDE Circuit! I believe* that Giri needs 13.53 to pass him, while Arjun needs 17.26 (although I want to see FIDE update the standings to be confident).
— Chess by the Numbers (@ChessNumbers) December 21, 2023
Here are the points available at WRB. Yellow/Green for Anish/Arjun targets, before considering tiebreak rules. pic.twitter.com/cNAII2umGy
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