The Nunn Plan for the World Chess Championship
Introduction
I wrote the first version of this plan for a world chess championship in February
2005. This document was not for publication but was circulated amongst a small
group of players and officials. At the end of the Linares tournament Frederic
Friedel discussed it with FIDE deputy president Georgios Makropoulos and vice
president Zurab Azmaiparashvili. Since then, FIDE has announced the forthcoming
World Championship to be held in Argentina during September-October 2005. I
cannot say whether my ideas had an influence, but this event bears a remarkable
similarity to my suggestion! However, FIDE have not (yet!) taken on board my
ideas for a qualification system for future World Championships. This plan
may be of some interest to the chess public, so I give it below.
In a further development, a
meeting has recently taken place between FIDE and the ACP, and one of the
suggestions made in that meeting has a bearing on my ideas. I will comment
on this at the end.
First of all, here is what I wrote in February, slightly abridged:
Background
From 1948-1990 the World Chess Championship was organised by FIDE (Fédération
Internationale des Échecs), the International Chess Federation. During
this period, the FIDE World Championship was universally recognised as the
legitimate world chess championship. However, in 1993 a breakaway world championship
was founded, and since then the chess world has been divided. FIDE has continued
to organise world championships, although using a quite different system to
that employed previously. Their system has resulted in a series of title-holders
not ranked in the world top 10, seriously undermining the legitimacy of the
FIDE World Championship title.
In 2002, an agreement was signed in Prague to reunify the World Championship,
signed by most of the leading players and chess organisations. However, this
agreement was under pressure from the start and has now collapsed completely.
One of the main reasons for the collapse of the Prague agreement was that it
involved a complex series of matches stretching over a considerable span of
time. While some of these events were organised, others could not be, and since
all the events were connected, the failure of just one of them led the whole
structure to collapse.
The solution
1. General
A World Championship should be organised once every two years. It would take
place during what is currently an inactive part of the chess season. September
would be a good choice, but there are other possibilities. This World Championship
would consist of a single event, an eight-player tournament in which each player
meets each other player twice. By condensing the World Championship into a
single event, the problems which have plagued previous structures are avoided,
and sponsorship would not be diluted by having the publicity shared amongst
several events.
2. Selection of players
For the first event, the players should be selected on the basis of Elo ratings.
The figure used would be the average rating of players over the preceding 12
months, weighted according to the number of games played in each period.
An obvious problem with a qualification system based on Elo ratings is that
once a player has achieved a high rating, he may choose not to play further
in order to ensure qualification. It seems to me that if someone wishes to
play for the world championship, then his qualification should be based on
actually playing rather than sitting at home, so for subsequent world championships,
the figure used would be the Elo rating (as calculated in the previous paragraph)
plus an activity bonus.
The activity bonus would be the total number of rated games played since the
previous world championship divided by two. The activity bonus would be limited
to 75 points. Thus a player who has been active recently would be ranked higher
than an inactive one, even if their Elo ratings were the same. This system
stimulates chess activity in general, and it particularly encourages young
and improving players who might qualify by being very active. It also ensures
additional publicity for the sponsor by creating a race for qualification in
the several months before the event itself. It is important to note that
the activity bonus is only used for the qualification calculation; it does
not affect a player’s Elo rating and Elo ratings would continue to be
calculated in the usual way.
The winner of one tournament would not be given
an automatic place in the following one. This does not happen in other sports
and a free place would only encourage inactivity. The calculations would be
made three months prior to the event and invitations and player contracts issued
as soon as possible thereafter.
3. Schedule of event
There are 14 rounds. The schedule would be
Day 1 |
Arrival day and drawing
of lots |
Days 2-5 |
Rounds 1-4 |
Day 6 |
Rest day |
Day 7-10 |
Rounds 5-8 |
Day 11 |
Rest Day |
Day 12-15 |
Rounds 9-12 |
Day 16 |
Rest Day |
Days 17 |
Round 13 |
Day 18 |
Round 14 |
Day 19 |
Possible tie-breaks
and prize ceremony |
Day 20 |
Day of departure |
The time-limit for the games should be 40 moves in 2 hours, then 20 moves
in 1 hour, then 30 minutes for all the remaining moves. From move 60 onwards
each player will receive an increment of 10 seconds per move.
4. Tie-breaks
In the event of a tie, there must be a procedure for tie-breaks.
4.1: If the tie is between two players, the tie-break will consist of two
rapid games played at the rate of 30 minutes per player plus 10 seconds per
move.
4.11: If there is still a tie then two further rapid games will be played
at the rate of 10 minutes per player plus 5 seconds per move.
4.12: If there is still a tie, then the players will play a series of blitz
games at the rate of 5 minutes per player plus 1 second per move. The first
decisive game will decide the title.
4.2: If the tie is between more than two players, then the tie-break will
consist of a single round-robin rapid event at the rate of 30 minutes per move
plus 10 seconds per move.
4.21: If there is still a tie, then if this resulting tie is between two
players then it will be resolved as in 4.11 and 4.12 above.
4.22: If the resulting tie is between more than two players then it will
be resolved by a single-round rapid event at the rate of 10 minutes per player
plus 5 seconds per move. If there is still a tie, and if this tie is between
two players then it will be resolved as in 4.12 above.
4.23: In the extremely unlikely event that this tie is still between more
than two players, then single-round robin blitz events will be held with
the same time-limit as in 4.12 until a single winner emerges.
5. Cost
In view of the chaotic situation in the chess world, a World Championship
will be recognised by the participation of all the leading players in an event
which is designed to produce a fair winner. It is critical that the credibility
of the event be established without a doubt, so that it is recognised as the
World Chess Championship. It is unlikely that this can be achieved on the cheap.
I would estimate the cost of the event to be 2.5 million dollars. The prize
fund would be 1.5 million dollars, which could be apportioned as follows (in
dollars):
1st: |
650,000 |
2nd: |
300,000 |
3rd: |
150,000 |
4th: |
120,000 |
5th: |
100,000 |
6th: |
80,000 |
7th: |
60,000 |
8th: |
40,000 |
The reasonable returns even for the lower places ensure that qualifying places
are regarded as very valuable, and therefore players will be encouraged to
play more to get their ratings up and achieve a good ‘activity bonus’.
The race to qualify will generate additional publicity for the main event.
The remaining 1 million dollars would be for organisational expenses, including
hire of venue and publicity. A good website with live games and commentary
is a must for an event of this type.
Summary
Chess is a game with a wide following, not only in the West but also in many
other parts of the world. There is currently a boom in playing chess on the
Internet and chess software often occupies leading positions in software best-seller
lists. However, this boom has not been reflected in top-level chess due to
organisational problems. This proposal offers a chance to solve the problems
surrounding the World Championship, while at the same time offering a sponsor
a chance to create a massive impact with a unique event.
That is what I wrote in February. In May a meeting took place between the
ACP and FIDE. On the ACP website, the minutes of the meeting are given and
include the following: “ACP agrees and adds that inactive players should
lose rating points. FIDE agrees.” This may sound similar to the ‘activity
bonus’ idea presented above, but in fact it is very different and, in
my view, a very bad idea. No details are given of the ACP proposal, but for
the sake of argument let us assume that a certain number of points are deducted
for each inactive period.
Many chess players on the Elo list (even grandmasters!) may have a period
of inactivity for a variety of reasons; for example, career, family, illness,
pregnancy or child-raising. I should explain that at the moment, if you are
inactive for some time then rating is not published, but it remains the same
and if you resume playing again then you return at your old rating. It is surely
desirable to tempt inactive players to start playing again, but forcing them
to start again at a lower Elo rating and work their way up again is a powerful
disincentive to resuming play. Can you imagine the reaction to “Well,
Garry, of course we’d love you to start playing again, but you’ll
have to start again at 2200.” Judit Polgar proved that you can have an
inactive period and return again at full strength, and there is no special
reason to suppose that a period of inactivity is necessarily damaging.
I could perhaps understand this proposal if there were some grave abuse being
perpetrated in the chess world based on inactive players retaining their rating,
but I cannot see anything like this. Therefore, this proposal would seem to
have no positive effect, but an unquestionable negative effect. It seems to
me that players should have the freedom to choose when and where they will
play without fear of negative consequences, and I am surprised that the ACP,
which is a players’ organisation, should be so keen to undermine this
freedom.
I recall that several years ago there was a proposal, which again came from
the players’ side, to strip grandmasters of their title if their Elo
rating fell below 2500 (this was enthusiastically supported by Nigel Short,
for example). Fortunately, this proposal didn’t get anywhere. There must
be some strange quirk about chess players which makes them so enthusiastic
about punishing their colleagues. Perhaps a psychologist can shed some light
on the matter!
Dr John Nunn
Tell us what you think
We are interested in your opinion on the situation in world chess
and the proposals that have been presented here by John Nunn.