Military theory and chess
Researchers are trying to do for war with chess what the writings of Franklin
K. Young tried to do for chess with war a hundred years ago. Let's hope they
have more success at it because Young's books and their convoluted military
terminology are famously laughable. (The chapter title "Processes of Greater
Logistics" gives you the rough idea. It gets much, much worse.)
One of the many origin fables for chess has it being created as a substitute
for real warfare in order to save precious lives. Could chess now provide information that will make man better at real warfare? We're skeptical, especially since many
of the factors they are examining are things understood by any beginner chessplayer
or army private. Still, hard data is hard data and that's what these guys are
after.
This
article in the UK paper the Guardian provides the details. A few excerpts
are below, along with a letter International Master Colin Crouch wrote in response.
What do you think?
Chess! What is it good for? – The Guardian
War, say researchers in Sweden and Australia. They are using the game to
improve understanding of real battles, where you can't always see what your
opponent is up to.
by Emma Young – Thursday March 4, 2004
"By studying chess and other adversarial abstract games such as checkers
(draughts), researchers can strip away some of the confusion of the battlefield
and identify the factors that are most important for winning, says Jason Scholz,
who leads the Australian work. "The strength of this approach is our level
of abstraction," Scholz says."
"These games, and other variations on regular play, led the team to a
clear conclusion: being stronger and having more "battlespace information"
than your opponent are both less valuable when there is little information available
overall to both sides - but the advantage of a fast pace remains. "The
value of information superiority is strongly tempered by uncertainty, whereas
the value of superior tempo is much less affected," says Kuylenstierna."
"Using the same new mathematical techniques, and building on the chess
and checkers work, Scholz and his colleagues are now creating improved computer-based
war games for use in military training. Good artificial intelligence has been
lacking from most war games until now and they hope their work will provide
more realistic characters and situations, and therefore not only better training
but also an improved method for considering new strategies for real warfare.
One important advance from the chess simulations is to allow multiple moves
at the same time, as would happen in a battle."
Click
here for the full article at the Guardian Unlimited website.
Two
days later British International Master Colin Crouch wrote in to the Guardian
with this to say:
"I do not wish to condone the bloodthirsty business of warfare, but I
agree that chess has much to teach military strategists (Chess! What is it good
for?, Life, March 4).
One of the basics of chess strategy is to attack meaningful targets where the
opponent is weakest. A tragedy of the first world war was that military planners
used the opposite strategy, always attacking the opponent's strongest point
on the basis that if this collapsed, the war would be won. Hundreds of thousands
of lives were sacrificed in attempts to prove the validity of this strategy.
What lessons might there be for the recent Iraq war? Probably not many. If
an alliance of formidable military powers attacks a country that is virtually
defenceless, more or less any strategy will prevail. The critical point, however,
is that "checkmate" – the collapse of the leadership of one
side – does not end the game in real life. People do not on the whole
like their country being occupied, and resistance forces emerge.
I doubt if any analogies with chess, or any simulation of the game to allow
for limited information, will help deal with this sort of post-checkmate scenario.
There are, however, plenty of examples that may be taken from the history books.
Only a clique of politicians motivated by blind ideology and ignorant of history
could have believed that the coalition forces in Iraq would be greeted with
universal jubilation."
Dr Colin Crouch
International Chess Master
Photo © John Henderson