1/15/2019 – Courtesy our friends At New in Chess: GM MATTHEW SADLER on books looks at two of Simon Williams' recent video series. Plus, what would AlphaZero think about the World Championship match that was held at a stone’s throw from DeepMind’s headquarters in London? Sadler and NATASHA REGAN, authors of Game Changer: AlphaZero’s Groundbreaking Chess Strategies and the Promise of AI, provide a glimpse.
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On this DVD, we will look at a simple-to-learn yet surprisingly effective system that White can play after 1 d4 d5. In all cases White will play 2 c4 - and if given the chance, 3 cxd5!
In this video course, experts including Dorian Rogozenco, Mihail Marin, Karsten Müller and Oliver Reeh, examine the games of Boris Spassky. Let them show you which openings Spassky chose to play, where his strength in middlegames were and much more.
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AlphaZero's Thoughts
by GM Matthew Sadler and WIM Natasha Regan
The idea of analysing the World Championship Match between Magnus Carlsen and Fabiano Caruana together with AlphaZero, London-based DeepMind’s general-purpose artificial intelligence system, first occurred to us just after the thrilling Candidates Tournament held in Berlin in March 2018. Still in the middle of writing our book about AlphaZero and thrilled by the incredible games we were seeing, we felt that — despite all the attention that the match would receive from other silicon and human commentators — AlphaZero’s perspective could still add something unique and valuable.
Part of the mystery of a match lies in the opening choices, in which the intentions of a competitor never fully become revealed. For example, Caruana’s Queen’s Gambit Declined seemed to cast a huge shadow over Carlsen’s White games. From the outside, it felt as if Caruana’s choice of opening had significantly disrupted Carlsen’s strategy with the White pieces and made him lose confidence in 1.d4. The strange thing is that we never got to see the reason for this loss of confidence: both in Game 2 and Game 7, Carlsen attempted to make progress in sidelines rather than testing out Caruana’s preparation in the main lines.
In this article, we thought it would be interesting to take a deeper look at some of those intriguing moments in the Queen’s Gambit Declined and get AlphaZero’s thoughts on what it considered to be best play.
Game 2 was in retrospect a crucial moment for Caruana in the match: after a fraught first game in which he had been required to muster all his defensive mastery to counter Carlsen’s stellar opening and middlegame strategy, Caruana achieved the first of many comfortable draws with Black with excellent preparation.
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1.d4Nf62.Nf3d53.c4e64.Nc3Be75.Bf40-06.e3c57.dxc5Bxc58.Qc2Nc69.a3Qa510.Rd1Rd8This rare choice from Caruana was not
AlphaZero's main choice, which preferred the standard main line10...Be7. AlphaZero - like most commentators - recommended11.Nd2,
with a fairly positive expected score of 65-70_percent_. Still closer to
a draw than a win but definitely chances for White. Let's take a look at
some of the lines that AlphaZero looked at in building up this
assessment.11.Nd2dxc4AlphaZero's main continuation.11...d4is great fun, but (impressively) AlphaZero's 1-millisecond line is
essentially the main line you find after analysing with other engines:
Black sacrifices a piece, gets it back and ends up a bit worse with a
terrible pawn structure:12.Nb3Qb613.Na4Bb4+14.axb4Qxb4+15.Nd2Qa516.Qb3e517.Bg5Nb418.Bxf6gxf619.Be2Bd720.Ra1dxe321.fxe3b522.0-0bxa423.Qc3f524.Nf3f625.Nh4Nc626.Qa3e427.c5Rab828.Nxf5Bxf529.Rxf5Kg730.Bc4Rd2is AlphaZero's main line, with an
almost 60_percent_ expected score. We suppose that with deep preparation
of this middlegame as Black, you might be able to get away with this
line if you're happy fighting for a draw.12.Nxc4AlphaZero's
preferred choice, though we were keener on the more aggressive 12. Bxc4,
keeping more pieces on the board.12.Bxc4Be7, and now:13.0-013.Bd3was an almost equivalent move, according to AlphaZero. Again we
like this move a little more than AlphaZero's main line, as it keeps
more pieces on the board:e514.Nc4Qc715.Nb5Qb816.Bg3Bg417.f3Be618.Nd4Bxc419.Bxc4Qc8, when you feel that White should
have a path to a small annoying edge. This is AlphaZero's main
line:20.Nxc6Qxc621.Rxd8+Rxd822.Qb3Kf823.0-0Nd524.Bf2a625.Rd1Nb626.Rxd8+Bxd827.Qd1Bf628.Ba2- wouldn't Magnus have enjoyed this
as White? -Na429.Qd2e430.Bd5Qd731.Qb4+Kg832.Qxb7Qxb733.Bxb7Bxb234.Bc6Nc535.a4, ending with a 59_percent_ expected
score for White.13...Qf5 (the only move AlphaZero spent any time
on) 14.Nde4Nd515.Qc115.Bg3Nxc316.bxc3Rxd116...Ne517.Rxd8+Bxd818.Qd1Bb619.Nd6Qf620.Bb5was good for White in
Graf-Dobrev, Leipzig 2007 (1-0, 34) 17.Rxd1e5made AlphaZero less
happy than the main line15...Nxf415...Nxc316.Nxc3e517.Nd5Be618.Bd3Qh519.Nxe7+Nxe720.Bg3Rac821.Bc2, with a 62_percent_
expected score for White16.Rxd8+Nxd816...Bxd817.exf4Bc718.g3Bd719.Rd1Be8, with a 63_percent_ expected score for White - the
ideas are very similar to the main line17.exf4Bd7, and now a main
line that feels tactically very fraught, but was more or less the only
line that AlphaZero seriously considered (!) :18.b4Rc819.Rd1Ba419...Rxc420.Rxd7Qxe421.Qd2Qc622.Rxe7wins for White20.Nd6Bxd621.Rxd6Qc222.Qe3Be823.Bf1Nc624.Rd2Qb325.Ne4Qxe326.fxe3Kf827.Nd6Rc728.e4f629.Bb5Ke730.e5, with a 59_percent_ expected
score for White. This line is an example of why analysing with AlphaZero
in the opening is an unusually instructive experience. Out of a mass of
possibilities, it invariably takes a clear, coherent view on one path
and pursues it with enormous focus and vigour. It's like having Karpov
or Kramnik on tap and asking them for a clear opinion about any
position! The resulting line is a wonderful framework around which to
build your own understanding of the position and develop your own ideas.
It's going too far to claim that AlphaZero's view on the position
represents perfection and to accept it without question, but it is
unfailingly interesting and challenging for the opponent.12...Rxd1+13.Qxd1Qd814.Qxd8+Nxd815.Be2Black has two
approaches in this position: quiet development with 15...Bd7, or the
more forceful 15...Nd5, which aims to achieve immediate liquidation. We
decided to take on AlphaZero from this position using some help from
engines where required.15.Na4Bf816.Nab6is a surprising idea that
was first tried by Euwe in 1954 but seems insufficient for an
advantage:axb617.Nxb6Ra518.Nxc8Rc519.Nb6g520.Bg3Rc221.Na4Ne4, Gerusel-Eisinger, Bad Aibling 1965, was drawn in 35
moves.15...Bd7AlphaZero likes15...Nd5less, moving to a solid
71_percent_ expected score for White:16.Nxd5exd517.Nd6Bd7the
favourite move of the engines, completing development before trying to
liquidate Black's isolated d-pawn with ...d5-d4. On17...d4White
plays18.e418.b418.Kd2d419.e4Ne620.Bg3Bc621.f3Rd822.e5a523.Bc4a4was assessed by AlphaZero as a 54_percent_ expected score for
White18...Bb619.0-0Ne6 (as Black, AlphaZero was
keener on plans with ...a5, to swap off as many pawns as possible) 20.Bg3d421.Bf3Bc621...dxe322.Bxb7Rf823.fxe3Bxe3+24.Kh1Bb625.Bd5- AlphaZero is starting to get very positive about this, moving
to a 75_percent_ expected score22.Bxc6bxc623.Nc4dxe324.fxe3Ng525.Rd1Ne426.Rd7Kf8was a 65_percent_ expected score for White.16.0-0Bc6This was my (Matthew) favoured solid approach, and the
engines were very happy with it, too.17.Rc1Bf818.Bg3Nd5Black
starts to exchange minor pieces.19.Na5Playing the knight to a5 is a
recurring plan in these positions. It makes Black's light-squared bishop
insecure and ties down a black piece to the defence of the b7-pawn. If
Black plays ...b6, then White gets some extra weak light squares to work
with.Nxc320.Rxc3Bd521.f3f622.e4Ba2DIAGRAM ... and that's
why you need engines to help you! We were extremely nervous about this
move, but it seems crucial to keeping Black's position together.23.Kf123.b3b624.Nc4Rc8and the bishop is impossible to catch!23...b624.Nc6e525.Bf2Be6Here AlphaZero's evaluation starts to drop from
68_percent_ evaluation to 62_percent_.26.Bb5Bf727.Nxd8Rxd828.Ke2Bd629.Bc4h530.b4Bxc4+31.Rxc4Kf832.a4AlphaZero's evaluation is
at a 66_percent_ expected score, but White's advantage feels manageable
for Black. All-in-all, Black's position is not fun to play - Black is
only playing for two results - but backed by some accurate computer
preparation (for example, a few ideas like 22...Ba2 in our main line)
Black should be able to count on navigating to an endgame in which
White's advantage probably cannot be realized.
As you can see, analysing with AlphaZero is a rollercoaster ride. While its play is generally sound and strategical, it is extremely sensitive to the slightest opportunities for active counterplay, which it prosecutes with great energy and purpose. This gives great feedback when trying out ideas against it, especially those involving the arrangement of your pieces on different sets of squares: AlphaZero won’t be shy to shout a low evaluation at you if it doesn’t like your choices. All-in-all, it’s been a great experience analysing with an engine quite unlike any other, and we hope you enjoyed this insight into the brain of an artificial intelligence system that taught itself to play chess.
How AlphaZero evaluates
AlphaZero’s evaluation is based on how it would expect to do against itself from the current position. It uses a weighted average of all the lines it has seen during its analysis which lets AlphaZero take account of everything going on in the position before giving its final evaluation. We think this is what gives AlphaZero its intuitive feel for positions, allowing it to steer towards positions that are generally promising. In this article we talk about the evaluation as a percentage. An expected score of 70% for White would signify good winning chances and a definite advantage for White.
Sadler on Books
Simon Williams has been busy recently with two DVD’s for ChessBase: one on the Exchange Slav: Simple but Powerful: Ex-change on d5 in the Slav and the Queen’s Gambit, and one on the Queen’s Gambit Declined 5.♗f4: A Dynamic Weapon against the Queen’s Gambit Declined — 5.♗f4.
Williams is not always the most concise of presenters, but he is unfailingly enthusiastic and strongly focused on giving the viewer the minimum number of lines to be able to play an opening properly rather than providing reams of long variations. As you might expect, this approach works better for some openings than for others. I felt that the analysis in the DVD on the QGD was erring on the light side, particularly in intricate variations such as the old mainline (1.d4 d5 2.c4 e6 3.♘c3 ♘f6 4.♘f3 ♗e7 5.♗f4 0-0 6.e3 c5 7.dxc5 ♗xc5 8.♕c2 ♘c6 9.a3 ♕a5 10.0-0-0). I felt that I had been entertained, but possibly learnt too little!
On this DVD, we will look at a simple-to-learn yet surprisingly effective system that White can play after 1 d4 d5. In all cases White will play 2 c4 - and if given the chance, 3 cxd5!
The other DVD works much better and Williams does his usual nice approach of offering a choice of lines — the normal solid main lines as well as something spicy. This time, the idea that caught my eye was: 1.d4 d5 2.c4 c6 3.cxd5 cxd5 4.♘c3 ♘f6 5.f3
The Berliner Exchange Slav. I first saw this line mentioned in former Correspondence World Champion and computer programmer Hans Berliner’s The System, with the main line given as: 5...♘c6 6.e4 dxe4 7.d5 ♘e5 8.fxe4 e6
Unfortunately, Berliner was very cagey about this line: ‘Despite the fact that there are numerous violent attacking attempts here, and I have spent hundreds of hours on this, including much computer help, I have not been able to find any concrete advantage for White.’
It just shows you how times change! When Berliner’s book came out in 1999, I scoffed a little at all these ridiculous opening ideas. Fifteen years’ work with engines later, nothing seems stupid anymore!
In any case, Simon Williams does a pretty good job in this DVD of making me enthusiastic for the Exchange Slav, which is not something I’d ever think I’d say! 3 stars for the QGD and 4 stars for the Exchange Slav.
This DVD concentrates on the increasingly popular 5.Bf4 variation of the Queen's Gambit Declined and gives White a dynamic and aggressive weapon against Black's set-up.
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Magnus Carlsen unbeatable Carlsen’s choice Just like two years ago in New York, Magnus Carlsen steered for a tiebreak in the World Championship match against Fabiano Caruana in London. A choice that was widely criticized, but again proved highly effective.
AlphaZero’s thoughts And what would the strongest program around think about the match that was held at a stone’s throw from DeepMind’s headquarters in London? Matthew Sadler reports.
Short Stories Nigel Short wonders what changes are needed to keep the World Championship attractive for a broad audience.
FIDE Presidents Arkady Dvorkovich is only the seventh FIDE president.
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Opera Game Paul Morphy’s rise from child prodigy to the ‘pride and sorrow of chess’ forms the backdrop to a new movie.
NIC’s Café A chess-themed pub in downtown Oslo, Maurice Ashley on ‘The Daily Show’ and a revisited flyover in Kolkata.
Your Move Not everyone rejoiced when a rapid tiebreak decided the world title.
Celeb64: George C. Scott
Chess Pattern Recognition Why not gain some space while advancing a pawn for a fianchetto?
Judit Polgar Crucial moments can dramatically change the course of a game. Or can even have far-reaching consequences for a player’s career.
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