3/19/2023 – When choosing a move during a game of chess, there will be a compromise between instinct and calculation. In reasonably clear positions, you may be able to rely on the former with just a few checks for blunders, but there are situations which require you to go deeper into the position. At times, if nothing is satisfactory after exploring the alternatives, it may be advisable to bluff and go for a line which you believe to be worse if they find a difficult resource but better if they fail to find this (near) refutation.
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[Note that Jon Speelman also looks at the content of the article in video format, here embedded at the end of the article.]
When choosing a move during a game of chess, there will be a compromise between instinct and calculation. In reasonably clear positions, you may be able to rely on the former with just a few checks for blunders, but there are times when you need to go deeper into the position.
Calculation involves at least three different processes. In each position you examine, you must find the “candidate moves” for yourself or your opponent, i.e. move generation; and then stitch them together to make reasonably plausible “variations”, with luck without making too many glaring errors. A variation ends when you believe that nothing too dramatic is going to happen (the position is fairly quiescent) and you must then try to assess it.
It's a great idea to take Grunfeld and King’s Indian players out of their comfort-zone right from the start! Let’s go 1.d4 Nf6 2.c4 g6 first and now play 3.h4!?
After working through these variations — and it’s perfectly sensible to stop without looking at everything if you find something sufficiently appealing — you must finally make your choice. Normally this will be the line that leads to the best possible outcome if they play what you believe to be their best moves (computer engines do this by finding the maximin — the line which leads to the maximum minimum value against the supposed best play). However, sometimes, if nothing is satisfactory, it may be better to bluff and go for a line which you believe to be worse if they find a difficult resource — but will be better if they fail to find this (near) refutation.
Two well-known books on chess calculation, by Jacob Aagaard and Ramesh RB
Today I’m concentrating on the first part of the process: move generation. And in particular high-value moves which may or may not change the assessment dramatically. These will rock the boat — if and when it capsizes, either you or your opponent is likely to be underneath: though a priori you don’t know which.
To calculate well, you have to be able to see these moves or at least a decent proportion of them (of course, engines uncover ludicrous ideas which people would hardly ever see, all the time). And if you can develop an instinct as to when they might occur and what they actually are, then this will undoubtedly be very helpful.
We start with a vicious opening trap which was sprung in the first round of the recent European Championship. It turns out it had already occurred at least 20 times previously. It is followed by a lovely game from the recent Swedish League, in which a small thunderbolt did considerable damage. It’s counterpointed by a couple of analogous examples with the same blow, and I’m finishing briefly with two positions from my own games.
Select an entry from the list to switch between games
In this Videocourse we deal with different aspects of the middlegame which are important to study and improve your general understanding of chess structures.
Jonathan SpeelmanJonathan Speelman, born in 1956, studied mathematics but became a professional chess player in 1977. He was a member of the English Olympic team from 1980–2006 and three times British Champion. He played twice in Candidates Tournaments, reaching the semi-final in 1989. He twice seconded a World Championship challenger: Nigel Short and then Viswanathan Anand against Garry Kasparov in London 1993 and New York 1995.
YOUR PERSONAL CHESS COACH - Whether you’re taking your first steps into the world of club chess, or already playing at a tournament level: with FRITZ, you can train more efficiently, intelligently and with a more personalised approach than ever before.
In this volume, we dive into core aspects of chess technique. Smyslov taught the principle of tactical hierarchy, “checks, double attacks, and unprotected pieces”, and Mikhalchishin demonstrates how this method of calculation is vital.
Videos: Nico Zwirs examines two Petroffs from the 2026 Candidates. Robert Ris has a tip against the Caro-Kann Advance Variation with 3…c5. Fiona Sieber reveals a surprise weapon against the Najdorf. ‘Lucky Bag’ with 40 analyses by Ganguly, L'Ami et al.
YOUR PERSONAL CHESS COACH - Whether you’re taking your first steps into the world of club chess, or already playing at a tournament level: with FRITZ, you can train more efficiently, intelligently and with a more personalised approach than ever before.
In this powerful new course, endgame expert Karsten Müller teams up with rising star Leon Mendonca to deliver what truly matters: 10 essential rules that every player must know.
In this video course experts examine the games of Bent Larsen. Let them show you which openings Larsen chose, where his strength in middlegames were, how he outplayed his opponents in the endgame & you’ll get a glimpse of his tactical abilities!
From the 2026 Candidates Tournament, featuring a video review by Dorian Rogozenco, to Jan Werle’s opening video on the French Tarrasch Defence, and Oliver Reeh’s tactical column ‘Top Grandmasters at Work’. Analyses by Giri, So, Wei Yi and many others.
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